Tufar on Finance and Economy

Contemplations on Finance and Economy

Archive for July, 2008

Rotation Into Energy and Agriculture

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My positions are emerging out of negative territory. Surprisingly, energy and ag. sectors are rising up again. I have orders to close positions at break even. I am reluctant to take any bets now. I want to close all of my positions and take a breather after my huge loss in July.

(BUCY: 61.28 +0.79%, 50-day: 53.13, 200-day: 59.01, short ratio 1.60, 1yr target: 79.53) position closed at break even.

Written by Nicolæ Tufar

July 30th, 2008 at 12:33 pm

Posted in Markets

MOS Stellar Earnings

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(MOS: 47.75 +0.34%, 50-day: 43.60, 200-day: 52.28, short ratio 0.80, 1yr target: 57.67) just announced stellar earnings after market close. My position of Aug 150/155 debit call spread is in a deep loss as the share price is $122.36. Hopefully shares will soar tomorrow and I will be able to close my position without a loss. Price is up $2 in the aftermarket. I wish it went up more dramatically.

Written by Nicolæ Tufar

July 29th, 2008 at 1:43 pm

Posted in Markets

UNP and WLT

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Sold them to close Aug options position. UNP was moving up gradually, WLT shoot up 15% after stellar earnings.

X also reported above expectation earnings and very good outlook. Stock shoot up 14% but my position in it is still in minus. The volume was high but it failed to cross 50-day moving average. But I hope it will continue its ascent tomorrow.

Oil is falling, natural gas declined 34% this month, consumer sentiment is getting better. CNBC announced that the last 10 days were the best 10 days for stocks ever. But, I still can not find an attractive industry to invest in.

My position in MTL is still standing, accumulating losses but I hope Vlad does something to reverse the damage he has done with his careless attack last Thursday.

Written by Nicolæ Tufar

July 29th, 2008 at 1:09 pm

Posted in Markets

Buffett’s Tips for Individual Investors

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Written by Nicolæ Tufar

July 29th, 2008 at 3:58 am

Posted in Humour

Uncertain Markets

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Markets continue to oscillate. Absolutely no ideas and no well-defined trends. Commodities no longer work. Vlad Putin continues attack on MTL, the shares go even lower. Now there is a real fear that Vlad will go yukos on MTL.

I mostly look for the ways to trim down and close my existing positions. No prospects for good investment until autumn.

Written by Nicolæ Tufar

July 29th, 2008 at 12:17 am

Posted in Markets

MTL and Putin

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MTL announced that it will cooperate on the issues pointed out by Putin. Bought some, expect a rally on Monday. Foreign investors are worried about growing government interference in business in Russia.

 

Written by Nicolæ Tufar

July 27th, 2008 at 3:24 am

Posted in Markets